Alberta voters remain on the fence ahead of campaign season

As the Alberta provincial election is right around the corner and campaigns are set to begin Monday, Albertans are on the fence about who they want to be the next leader of the province.

According to Abacus Data, when it comes to the UCP and NDP, Albertans remain split. Of those surveyed, 36 per cent said they were going to vote for the UCP and another 36 per cent said they were going to vote for the NDP.

Both parties are up 1 per cent compared to an Abacas Data survey that was done last month.

Meanwhile, of voters that say they are likely to vote, 43 per cent of voters say they will vote NDP, compared to just 42 per cent for the UCP.

Overall 22 per cent of voters, said they are unsure of who they want to vote for come May 29.

Voter breakdown

How does the split decision look across the province?

The majority of support for the NDP is in Edmonton. Fifty-one per cent of those polled in the city said they are supporting Rachelle Notley, whereas 24 per cent are backing Danielle Smith.

In Calgary, 40 per cent say they are behind Smith, compared to 34 per cent support for Notley.

Outside the two major cities, the UCP leads the charge with 42 per cent support, 29 per cent of voters say they aren’t sure who they want.

For Albertans under 45 years old, 39 per cent say they are likely to vote NDP. Meanwhile, 42 per cent of voters over 45 say they are likely to vote UCP.

Comparing men and women voters, the NDP is ahead by 6 per cent for women and the UCP is up by the same margin for men.

Lastly, comparing the 2023 election to 2019, 60 per cent of voters who voted UCP say they are likely to for the upcoming election. Twenty per cent of those voters say they are undecided, the other 20 per cent will likely back another party.

As for the NDP, 87 per cent of their 2019 supporters say they are likely to vote the same. Three per cent remain undecided, with the other 10 per cent saying they will support another party.

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