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Health Canada projects 11,000 to 22,000 deaths from COVID-19

Last Updated Apr 9, 2020 at 10:35 am MDT

Chief Public Health Officer of Canada Dr. Theresa Tam listens to questions at a press conference on COVID-19 at West Block on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, on Tuesday, March 24, 2020. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Justin Tang

OTTAWA – With strong control measures, the federal public health agency projects that 11,000 to 22,000 Canadians could die of COVID-19 in the coming months.

The agency released modelling data this morning with different possible scenarios, warning that what happens depends very much on how Canadians behave to keep the respiratory illness from spreading.

The Public Health Agency of Canada says short-term estimates are more reliable, and it anticipates 500 to 700 deaths nationally by the end of next week.

With poor containment measures, the death toll could be much, much higher, the agency says.

It adds the COVID-19 battle in Canada is still in its early stages, but that the country’s numbers of confirmed cases have been increasing more slowly than in other countries.

The agency says the fight against the novel coronavirus will likely take many months and require cycles of tighter and weaker controls.


-with files from NEWS 1130